Climate Disaster

Bk Review. Global Catastrophes and Trends

Dr. Vaclav Smil. U of Manitoba MIT press, 2008 Dr. Vaclav has written at least 2 dozen books. These include China’s Environmental Crises , Global Ecology, Carbon-Nitrogen- Sulfur. probably chemical cycles in the environment . After reading the current book I am certain they are all important books to read. His chapter on Environmental Change – global warming etc is especially important. He deals with warming trends and many forcings which you may not have read about. He talks about how N2O from fertilizers helps warm the planet, impact of the introduction of alien species causing a general loss of species even in protected areas that have been invaded by, “rats, pigs, goats, cats and ants.” p 207. He deals with the nitrogen cycle and it’s hazards p 200,201. Understanding these chemical cycles is very important and should be heeded before political action occurs.

Dr. Vaclav most of all recognizes that, “all economies are only subsystems of the biosphere “ p 192. this puts a lie to almost all economists work and the politicians actions that rely on those economists. The definition of economics that most corporations use is, “profit at any cost as long as you don’t get caught.” Accountability has to start now!

Everyone needs a general primer about how the earth is becoming depleted. This book should be a first. It recognizes the earth is overpopulated. Earth resources cannot ecologically sustain the population we already have. In biological terms there will have to be a die off, as occurs with all other animals that overpopulate their habitat. It has started but the birth rate is still higher than the human death rate. Politicians who do not heed works like Vaclavs are liable for the deaths they cause and should be prosecuted. Your comprehensive readings will confirm this position.

Will Anderson

Dr. David Suzuki, The Big Picture 2009

Dr Suzuki includes in his big picture a wide variety of subjects.

He has sympathy for caged animals, saying they “can go stir crazy..” We only cage our worst criminals. We should do no less for animals.

His subjects includes diets saying, today’s generation will live shorter lives than their parents because of their terrible diets of fats, sugars, and chemical additives.

He includes how abuse of over fishing caused a 99% die off of cod fish in Canada. Since his biologists warned the minister of the threat to the cod the minister should have been charged for that crime against humanity and the earth.

He quotes Dr. Pauley UBC who says, “it won’t be long before we are down to eating jelly fish for supper.” p 176. He reflects Alana Mitchell who warns in her book Seasick that oceans are on their way to an ecosystem turnover and that oceans with lower oxygen will favour jelly fish that can live in lower oxygen conditions. This would have a huge impact upon people.

He mentions transgenic crops noting they are damaging to butterflies and bees. He notes that, “lab tests showed that Bt crops was potentially harmful to non target insects making them grow more slowly or reproduce less often,” perhaps dooming them to extinction.

He recognizes the vast scope of the biospheres influence upon humans and that our economic conventions must address “full cost accounting” for damaging the biosphere if we are to progress. The alternative is rapidly increasing human death rates. His words that, “The cost of polluting goods and services [must] actually reflect the damage they cause to human health and the environment.”

Without this change we will see a demise in the human population.

Will Anderson

 WE NEED YOU TO WRITE YOUR POLITICAL REPRESENTATIVE AND COPY THE OPPOSITION AND INSIST ON A STRONG CARBON TAX TO REDUCE AND STOP DEATH CAUSING CLIMATE CHANGE.

 IF WE DO NOT WANT TO BE COMPLICIT IN THE DEATHS OF THE EARTH’S GRAND CHILDREN WE MUST ACT. GET INVOLVED

Scientific Explanation for Global Warming IT IS ABSOLUTELY IMPORTANT

During the Carboniferous, Permian, Triassic and  Jurassic periods of about three hundred and fifty million years (350,000,000 years), the time of the dinosaurs, there was a very warm climate and that spurred growth of vast marshes and plant growth. Plant growth requires carbon dioxide as animals require oxygen. The planet cooled over millions of years and had absorbed so much carbon dioxide. This sequestered carbon in buried plants has been the origin of our coal, petroleum and natural gas deposits. In the last one hundred and fifty (150 years) about one half of these vast oil deposits have been mined or pumped out releasing 175 million years of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere very suddenly spurring a green house gas and warming climate at a drastically fast rate. That is why we have global warming.

But that is not all. The CO2 is being dissolved in the oceans and causing phytoplankton blooms which are dying, falling to the bottom and rotting. Also acidic oceans are killing zoo plankton, dissolving the shells of small animals at the bottom of the food chain. This decaying material is emitting gases of sulfur compounds. Over earth history it is thought these gases bubbled to surface and caused much animal extinction on the continents. Mitchell and Dyer think such an ocean turnover in ecosystem is happening now.

In addition it is known that millions of tons of methane are sequestered in the perma frost and ocean bottom. Warming melts ice and releases this gas that is 20 times more destructive that CO2. Dr Semiletov from Russia, with twenty years research has found vast methane releases to 1,000 m in diameter, and has calculated that 8 million tons of methane were released in 2010. As the BBC reported and as UK scientists say “ we are in a Planetary Emergency“. It is not surprising that the CBC has a gag order and did not report this significant news release.

CREATE LOCAL GROUPS AND WORK TOGETHER TO FIGHT WARMING.

 Global warming has caused many deaths from: floods, hailstorms, hurricanes, snowstorms, drought, heat waves and related disease. Dyer’s “Climate Wars”, Mitchell’s “Seasick”, and Hansen’s “Storms of My Grandchildr” all accurately document and report on the certain science (IPCC) that proves global warming will cause much greater catastrophes and higher death rates. The National Center for Atmospheric Research forecasts of “continuous drought” in many places around the earth in “thirty years” and the starvation s that will follow. The mass media will follow the story of one abducted little girl for weeks but except for the odd documentary on climate warming there is no mention on a day to day basis by the mass media. We successfully prosecuted the cigarette companies for the cancers and deaths caused by smoking without knowing how many cigarettes, or what were the direct relationships between cigarettes and deaths of each individual. 

The World Health Organization stated that in the year 2,000 there were 150,000 deaths, UNEP says 250,000 from global warming and as well five million people were stricken by serious disease all from global warming. Death rates are getting higher.

Scientist have been concerned about future methane (20 times worse than CO2) release from melting perma frost as being a worst case scenario. Dr. Semiletov from Russia has studied arctic warming for 20 years and discovered methane bubbles 1,000 in diameter. By his calculations there was 8 million tons of methane released in 2010 and this is increasing, perhaps driving the Winnipeg non winter of 2011-2012. Who do we hold responsible for these deaths? Who has the power to stop this holocaust? How does the media report on this massive mortal death dealing catastrophe? The BBC announced March 17,2012, that “ UK scientists stated Due to arctic warming we are facing a PLANETARY EMERGENCY and it has to be dealt with immediately.” In Canada Harper government has imposed a gag order on scientists who will lose grants if they talk about their research findings and they have imposed a gag order on the CBC so the UK announcement was not heard on CBC. CBC will never link climate change with deaths because of this gag order. I sent a letter to the CBC ombudsman and received no answer. Harper’s earlier Contempt of Parliament, the alleged. Conservatives passing themselves off as the official electoral office to divert voters in the last election, as well as hiding F35 costs and misleading parliament, and refusing to recognize the death rates from global warming, all show how they disrespectful they are of Canadians. They should be impeached. .

The All the science says there is an answer. Stop fossil fuel use now . Because of methane release from melting there is no time to wast. Who can mobilize it? Who is preventing the solution? Should we prosecute those who are preventing the solutions? We need to hear whether you want to be complicit in the deaths of the world’s grandchildren or rescue them. The young deserve to hear your answer on a day by day or week by week basis in the media.

It is now clear that :

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      1. Humans have caused the CO2 buildup from burning fossil fuels causing greenhouse effect and serious climate warming.
      2. Climate warming has caused extreme weather events and ocean acidification: including hurricanes, tornadoes, torrential rains, floods, mud slides, easier spread of tropical disease, glacier melting, river drying and very serious drought which all together have caused hundreds of thousands of deaths per year.
      3. Therefore people are directly responsible for the hundreds of thousands of deaths and under any reasonable law should be held accountable through prosecution. These should be oil company executives that are putting out disinformation and heads of state that are trying to undercut and destroy Kyoto and other international agreements to reduce climate impact. The Canadian leader is one such person. No one should be exempt under a truly international court for his/her destructive activity at Kyoto or other climate conferences.

Today’s children and young people are and will be the victims. In 2011 twenty nine thousand children died in Somalia from drought and in sub-Saharan Africa 100,000 are now at risk. Climate models project drought for the Canadian prairies. Researchers have always found heating occurs faster that models predicted.

THERE FIVE ACTIONS WE NEED TO TAKE.

1 Get off the carbon fuel addiction by placing a high tax on none hybrid cars, gas and other carbon or fossil fuels. Use the tax directly to support the development and use of ecologically sustainable green fuels: wind, wave, tide, Geo thermal, solar and perhaps for a time even fast breeder reactors that use old nuclear fuels. Support transition communities.

2 . Boycott nations that do not comply to this practice or place strong tariffs on their goods, and cooperate with green countries. 3. As in the case of the cigarette companies prosecute those responsible for preventing this move to ecological sustainability and this will stop the deaths of the earth’s grandchildren.4. Target lower global populations by encouraging birth control. Reverse Harper’s order of taking away birth control programs from Africa.   

5. Demonstrate at the legislatures, parliament or municipal offices May 1, 2011 and vote only for the party that includes # 1 in its absolutely firm policies.

To organize! We need a MISSION SATEMENT GET INVOLVED

The main problem is global warming due to excessive C02 and the likely turnover of ocean ecosystems (Mitchel) with terrible clouds of sulfur gases emanating from the rotting organisms in the seas and that is thought to have caused 4 of 5 great global extinctions (Dyer). This along with uncontrollable heating spurred by climate forcings that could ultimately kill all life on the planet. (Hansen)

This is not a political committee, we do not belong to any political party.

To educate the people about global climate and ocean heating and how serious and catastrophic a problem it is and its current cause of larger death rates.

To organize communication with all people.

To politicize the problem so political parties or governments know they cannot become elected or supported without a very strong anti climate warming prioritized action policy and framework going into an election.

To engender supports for those countries not able to fully financially support this program.

To act locally, nationally and internationally. To do it now!

ADMINISTRATION

To have an administration that is somewhat fluid. We are all owners of this action.

Chair Persons – Several , Committee leaders, Secretaries, Lawyers, Treasurers, Communicators,and Translators.

To have a membership fee of $10.00 for adults s and $5.00 for students or free for low income.

STRATEGY

The scope of the problem. To provide a summary of the problem Discover June 2009, p.38 or –. To understand it is real. Understand the why of current death rates and coming death rates. Education approach. Marketing.

Work with other countries first that already have green processes to build easy partnerships and support for the green movement of living.

Dealing with the problematic: a) Oil companies and the deniers b) Groups that use the Armageddon idea as an excuse to do nothing. c)The deniers.

Show how we will have more jobs and a healthier economy if we go this green route .

How to get this problem on the political agendas of all parties.

Getting recognition form the car companies that have electrical powered vehicles .

To electrify city and country wide transport.

To improve building codes.

To require development proposals to have a green review, or set of standards to meet.

To relate climate to all development aspects of human societies.

Accept all climate models.

Use the full cost accounting models. Apply it first in prototype where there are high CO2 emissions footprint.

Evaluate home building materials. Encourage use of those materials where there is lowest CO2 emissions in production of the material.

Develop a “reward-penalty” system for industrial processes and home consumption.

Build into the price of goods the full recycling, disposal for goods that would go to waste disposal.

Encourage international travel to be by boats that use wave action as an energy source. Fund this experimentation.

OUTREACH

To join forces with other committees like ours. Formal education. Mass media. Local, national and international groups and individuals. Seniors groups. Unions. Council of Canadians. Corporations. Universities. Ecological sustainability courses and professors at Universities and Colleges. Biology , geography and social, studies teachers in public schools and public school boards. Community councilors.

COLLABORATE with Suzuki type organizations, Pembina Institute, Universities, Council of Canadians. Etc:

WE NEED YOU

Write a letter to political representative and to the opposition.

We need :

Computer specialists and communicators. Teachers and professors. Writers. Media people. Specialists in climate, government processes, economists, entrepreneurs etc. Everyone. Maude Barlow. Canadian Policy Committees.

All and any politicians that will come on board.

SUBCOMMITTEES

International organizers. Educators public and formal. Action personal: Computer and messenger services

Country contacts

SOURCES

Provide information on original research and seminal books on the subject

Dr. James Hansen, Storms of My Grandchildren

Alana Mitchell, Seasick

Friedman Hot Flat and Crowded

Gwynne Dyer, Climate Wars

ENN Continuous drought in 30 years

Anderson – climate files

Series of Historical documents

Text books on climate by: Dyer, Mitchell, Dr. Hansen, Marsden, Friedman, etc Read climatedisaster.com

Contact Will 1-204-2691565.

Form your own groups but everyone pursue the vote for a carbon tax and using it for renewable green energy forms. Stay in touch.

ACTION ON CLIMATE WARMING EMERGENCY

Lester Brown wrote about the need to protect the environment in the 19070′s. Had we listened to him we would not be in the serious problem that the BBC announced Mar 17, 2012. They said, “UK scientists say we are in a planetary emergency from climate change.” This is the most important global story but CBC did not announce it. I wrote the CBC Ombudsman about this problem but have not received a reply. The CBC is under a gag order, and I have experienced such a problem working in government. But people are dying and this is news not policy. What does this make our PM Harper?

We thought that global warming problems were in the future. CO2 was a problem but we had until 2 degrees C to act sometime in the future. We also knew that the release of vast clouds of methane from arctic permafrost melting would rapidly exacerbate the problem since methane is twenty times worse that CO 2 as a green house gas. Towards the end of 2011 Dr. Semiletov from Russia, who has studied arctic warming for twenty years announced finding methane releases 1,000 meters across and calculated the 2010 release was 8 million tons and it would get worse fast. Death rates announced by:

WHO 150,000 deaths from climate warming per year

UNEP 250,000 deaths per year and

World Monitoring Agency expects a million deaths per year in 30 years.

It is likely that without action we will have a black death holocaust of 6 million deaths per year by 2100, all from burning black oil or fossil fuels.

The cigarette companies would not act without prosecution. The oil companies are likely worse. They have no ethics or morality. It is time we prosecute the oil companies and political leaders who are working against the movement to green the world and reduce CO 2 footprint fast.

 If you do not believe this read the science. Don’t believe hearsay. Read references: Diamond – Collapse, G. Dwyer - Climate Wars, Dr. Alana Mitchell- Seasick, Dr. James Hansen -Storms of My Grand Children, Dr.Brown - Plan B2, Dr. Friedman- Hot Flat and Crowded, Paul Gilding- he Great Interruption and Dr. William Marsden – Fools Rule all with scientific references listed. Please read the science.

We need your support, your signature on this petition. Hopefully also your assistance in litigation.

Every one should know there is high chance of injury to your grandchildren or perhaps even your children from climate warming. It does impact you now, because of regional disasters, higher tax, and insurance costs and drought is projected for the Canadian prairies.

Thank you for supporting the protection of the earth and out children. Mail to your political representative. Read climatedisaster.com Phone 2691565 for more information.

Politicians must impose a large carbon tax and move toward green energy fast.

Name Phone e mail I WILL HELP

THE GOOD SAMARITAN 30Mr 2012

GET INVOLVED

A man named Harry was taking his grandchildren for a walk on a forest trail. Little Judy and Martha were having a good time and loved their grandfather. They were in a forested area with some hills.

Along the route a man walked toward them. The grandfather had an acquaintance with the man. He knew the man was a surveyor and the man said, “This trail has some danger, there is a cliff with a 35 meter vertical drop. You have to take a more difficult detour but it is not well marked and the old trail leads right to the cliff.” The grandfather thanked him and went on perhaps a bit more carefully with his grand children. Soon another man caught up with Harry. He too had a grand daughter along. A little girl, Abbey, that was exuberant, adventurous and she hurried her grandfather along, often running a ways ahead. Harry stopped the man and told him of the dangerous cliff that lied ahead. Abbey stopped a few paces ahead.

Harry said, “A surveyor told me of this problem, there is a dangerous cliff ahead.”

The man said,“Well I have just given $100,000. to my religious leader and he assured me my family would not come to any harm. I believe him and anyway one always hears stories of silly things. I am confident we will come to no harm.” With that he walked down the trail and his little granddaughter raced quickly ahead.

Harry thought the man a fool, Harry – - – - – - – - – .

The cliff is climate warming. The surveyor is climate scientists. The man Harry with his two grand daughters is an environmentalist who tries to warn the public. The man with Abbey is those who deny climate warming:oil companies, deniers and politicians who are guilty of harming the public. The BBC announced March 17, 2012 that scientists confirm we are in a planetary emergency.

Should Harry rush ahead with his two grand daughters to stop Abbey? What would you do??

Read climatedisaster.com Phone 204 2691565 for more information.

Mail to your political representative and to the opposition.

THE GOOD SAMARITAN PETITION

Politicians must impose a high carbon tax and convert to green energy immediately.

NAME PHONE E MAIL I WILL HELP

WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT CLIMATE TO PROTECT YOUR CHILDREN

There seems to be a desperate need for people to want to not believe in global climate warming. This is enhanced by the deniers – oil companies and politicians putting out information that makes the issue confusing and uncertain, a loophole for people to not believe in science. Deniers often criticize conclusions in climate science, offer different conclusions but never, never prove their case that there is no human caused damaging climate change. But the truth is that climate warming is very real and worse, the harm from it is worse than expected. If you don’t believe in human caused climate change then examine the ‘world’s largest insurers record payouts from 2010.’ “This rise cannot be explained without global warming.” (McKibben, Newsweek Sep.5, 2011, p5)

Most of the severe weather today has probably a 40 % or more component of climate change. Weather is now extreme events, never seen before. The threat of drowned cites is one of the the major calamities and Hurricane Katrina’s impact upon New Orleans created a first major urban victim when 2,000 died. The cost for the repair of levees alone was $9 Billion dollars. Today October 11, 2011, flood waters are starting to engulf Bangkok, a city of nearly 12 millions and the disaster is now playing out. The UN reported that with all the natural climate disasters about one quarter of a million people die each year. (Time, April 2010) But often it is invisible to us, malaria, drought, starvation, so we believe the deniers. We are killing our childrens’ futures.

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and thousands of scientists have proven it at 95% confidence. There is no doubt. Scientific results are unquestionable. When someone tells you it is not occurring, they are lying!

IPPC Climate Change 2007- Synthesis Report The hard scientific measures of research from the “IPPC expert meeting on Detection and Attribution” says,

1. “Global atmospheric concentrations of CO2, CH4 and N2Ohave increased markedly as a result of human activity since 1750. … CO2 and NH4 exceed by far the natural range over the last 650 ,000 years.” [ch 1.3]

2. Gillet ET AL “Anthropogenic contribution to Forest fires. The influence of anthropogenic forcing on area burnt by forest fires in Canada was detected.” p3

3. “Slow extraordinary levels of Greenhouse gas GHG concentration and contain, quantitative evidence from the past about anthropocentric effects” p 21

4. “Recent observation by De’ath et al (2009) of a decline in calcification across three hundred 300 long-lived coral colonies on the great barrier reef is evidence of the impact of ocean acidification” p4

5. “Because the IPCC WGI concluded that most of the average temperature increases over the past 50 years are due to the observed increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations at the global and continental scale – significant attribution was assigned when both spatial statistics methods yielded significantly stronger pattern agreement between observed impacts and observed temperature changes than those occurring with temperature patterns form natural variability .” p5

6. Attribution is when climate warming is “consistent with the estimated responses to the given combination of anthropogenic [versus] natural forcing …. It is extremely unlikely that the global pattern of warming during the past half century can be explained without external forcing. …This led to the assessment that greenhouse gas forcing has very likely caused most of the observed global

warming over the last fifty years.” Annex 3, Hegerl p.25-6

7. It “is likely that there has been a substantial anthropogenic contribution to surface temperature increases over every continent” [Antarctica was not included as of date of this article.] p. 26. “shown by multi model data sets 1906- 2005.” figure 1. p 26[Ch 6.1] 8. “Conservative estimates of variation in the sea temperature and carbonate ion concentration for coral reefs over 420,000 years reveal that ‘current conditions’ for coral reefs are well outside those that coral reefs have experienced over this long period” Hoegh, Guldberg. Fig 1. p 30

It is fact! It is true! This is not a subjective belief system!

A Boondoggle That Kills – an address to politicians

There is a general lack of accurate and complete information in public education and the media that reports about death rates from anthropocentric caused global warming. The media and the public schools have failed our children. They have not informed people about how accurate climate science is and how catastrophic climate warming will become.

This subject has been victim of much intentional confusion pushed upon the public by deniers paid by oil companies as was the case with the cigarette companies and cancer. The science, however, is straightforward, clear and exacting. The CO 2 releases from burning fossil fuels has caused global warming. There have been measurement of ice cores and a host of research described by: Lester Brown- Plan B2, Gwyenne Dyer – Climate Wars, Dr. James Hansen- Storms of My Grandchildren, Friedman -Hot Flat and Crowded, Alanna Mitchell – Seasick, and these are listed in their bibliographies, and as well, IPCC reports, UN Reports, WHO and a host of other scientific reports. Are CBC reporters doing their research homework? One U of California, Berkley professor R, Muller, who was a serious skeptic and funded by the Koch Foundation, deniers involved in oil industry, said “we now have confidence that the temperature rise previously reported had been done without bias.”(WFP Oct 31,2011 p 13 A).

The cause of global warming is of course the vast plant growth during the time of the dinosaurs,- Carboniferous, Permian, Triassic and Jurassic, and with heat and pressure over 200 million

years this created our coal, oil, and natural gas deposits sequestering vast amounts of CO2. We have used one half of the oil deposits today releasing 200,000,000 years of CO2, into the atmosphere in just over 100 years, increasing our CO2 loading in the atmosphere at a million times the natural rate, causing global warming. It is not a God given event but a human caused one. Scientists now think the CO2 in the atmosphere is about the same as in the Permian (“late cretaceous”) which caused an animal extinction killing off about 50% of anima11 life. “In just a few decades, humans are causing a change in the composition of the atmosphere that are as large as the changes that took millions of years to occur during geological climate cycles.” (Macleod and Londono et al., Missouri and Florida Universities. Science Daily Oct 27,2011)

In 1998 in Central America hurricane Mitch killed 11,000 people. (Scientific American, Jan. 2011 p70). The USA storm that spawned 200 tornadoes April 18, 2011 and one a few days later killed up to 500 people. This weather was 40% above the long term norm, as was the Indus R. flood that killed more than 10,000 and both were clearly anthropocentric climate warming events. Yet in the CBC reporting, the death rates are never connected to human caused climate warming. This allows the deniers position to be reaffirmed. In fact, about September 15, 2011 “The National” left a printed note on the screen that, “climate warming was unproven.” This was an outright lie. Climate warming has been proved the same way cigarettes were proved to cause cancer. In the minds of honest scientists there is no doubt about global warming.

About the week of September 5, 2011 it was reported that:

* “The arctic could be unfrozen in thirty years.” (The National) This is drastic, extremely significant and will speed up global warming, since ice reflects heat. This speed up should have been announced.

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  * Six countries have had all time high temperatures and none have had all time lows. (ENN)

  * In the last 40 years the oceans have become 30% more acidic. This is of course related to dissolved CO2 creating carbonic acid and a direct tie into the CO2 in the atmosphere. A turnover in oceans would be more drastic than climate warming alone. (Alanna Mitchell, Gwynne Dyer)

Why do the CBC and all media not report more fully and according to the scientific position about the connection between human caused climate warming and increasing death rates? Is this political?

We never had problems connecting cigarettes with cancer in reporting, why is there this deviation in reporting honestly on climate events today? It will cost our children and grandchildren dearly. I take great exception to this lack of correct complete reporting.

Since this is a mortal disaster of unparalleled proportions this huge event should be followed up weekly or even daily, not as separate events, but as a continuation of human caused climate warming.

The understanding of this as one huge event is critical to the need for public action and the saving of the children. You have noted that 29,000 children have died in Somalia. This is almost certainly related to global warming. There is a desperate need for formal education and the media to teach and report accurately on anthropocentric global warming.

Dr Hansen states in his book that there will be continuous drying if we do not change our ways and convert away from fossil fuels.

We have broken away from the natural warming and cooling system of the earth. During the Pleistocene there were about four glacial advances and retreats (melting). This pattern is now broken. Hansen says there are forcings that enhance the warming.

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      1. As perma frost melts it will release methane a green house gas 20 times worse than CO2.
      2. As the ice melts less heat is reflected back to space, thus increasing the warming trend.

Again:

Recently on ENN I believe it said that the acidity in the oceans has increased by 30% over the last 40 years. This also means that the acidity will kill off the zoo plankton in vast numbers. These fall to the ocean bottom, rot and release sulfide gases.

It is now thought the Permian extinction (50 % of animals died off, as shown by the fossil record ) was caused in part by the release of sulfide gases. Alana Mitchell says we are very near a turnover in ocean ecosystem that could cause such a problem again.

As well, science says the CO2 in the atmosphere during the Permian was about the same a today (shown by air trapped in the glacial ice samples and by isotope studies of the gases.)

Cigarette companies were convicted for cancer deaths caused by smoking, and the same statistical evidence holds for deaths from global warming. In BC those who helped in the killing of the four RCMP officers were also convicted and jailed.

We now have had extreme climate events statistically caused in part (At least 40% says IPCC) by global warming. Global warming is a international problem so any one in every location contributes to the problem over the world. About twenty years ago I was at the Tech Museum in San Jose, California. Their model forecast very warm temperatures in the arctic in 200 years. Warming has sped up drastically and climate models are much more accurate today.

We had deaths from extreme flooding events in Australia, Canada, China, Central America and the USA. About 500 died in the 200 plus tornadoes in the US April 2011. Ten thousand died in the 2010 floods never before occurring, in the Indus R. Valley in Pakistan, and the flood is worse this year. 29 thousand children have died in Somalia (the horn of Africa) from drought and starvation and up to 12 million are at risk.

Surely just as in the case of the RCMP, senior politicians and the oil companies are complicit in these world death rates. The Media and schools must teach and broadcast the total story so our grandchildren will not suffer. We can change to ecologically sustainable fuels.

Please tell us all how you can more completely, accurately and frequently report on this catastrophic event. We need the media and public education to respond. We need your reply. The young need your reply.

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FACTS

Now it it important that I substantiate this position with facts. The half dozen books I have read and made notes on are based on sound science. There is a vast amount of very good science on what is causing global warming. First Diamond wrote Collapse to show were past civilizations died off from over using their natural environment. Lester Brown wrote Plan B2. He is a very credible person who has been in the business of monitoring the environment for many decades. Friedman’s Hot, Flat and Crowded is thorough and proposes solutions. The best I have read are Gwyenne Dyer’s Climate Wars. His bibliography supporting his book lists scientific reports 5 pages long. Alana Mitchell ‘s Seasick is an excellent book on the condition of the seas reporting a deadly turnover in ocean ecosystems if we do not change. It probably lead to the rogers “Earth System Expert” report. Sea creatures cannot stand much temperature and acidity change. The dying phyto plankton and zoo plankton, falls to the ocean bottom, decays and produces hydrogen sulfide. In the past it is hypothesized these gasses bubbled to surface creating vast clouds of deadly gases and during the Permian period this phenomena drove extinction of 50% of all animal life. The CO2 in the atmosphere, creates carbonic acid and the CO2 of the Permian is very much like the levels of CO2 levels in the atmosphere today, according to science. (Mitchell quotes from a twenty five page bibliography of reports and science and she has done research world wide. Would you believe her rather that a “denier” with just opinion?)

A Future Scenario - supported by increasing amounts of evidence.

People have noted the demise of bee colonies. The investigation does not find a distinct factor.

In the summer of 2011 the mosquitoes have mysteriously disappeared. Minute particles of hydrogen sulfide are blowing in from the oceans in small clouds that are not yet detectable. The phenomena is just mysterious. We have noted that there are more deaths from asthma. There is a forecast that 2,000 will die annually from asthma and related lung diseases in Toronto (Press report ). The old, babies and small children seem to be more susceptible to this “disease”.

There is also a note from Environment Canada that small birds are dropping in population. (Phone call 2010). In the imminent future an odd person notes small birds falling out of trees. Then someone does notice, a rotten egg smell and complains about it . They count it as an accidental gas release from storage on the south perimeter gas cylinders and make no more of it. The bird die off begins to be much more serious and now there seems to be a plague of deaths of infants that is unexplainable. The rotten egg smell becomes more predominant and people begin to harass government to do something about it. At the same time droughts increase. By 2075 vast droughts impact the grain harvests. Starvation expanded from Somalia becomes widespread, even in North America.

Women get up in the morning finding sudden crib death or their child dying in their arms. When appeals to politicians fail riots break out against government. Science again connects it to fossil fuel use, CO2, concentrations and acidification of the oceans. In the oceans the dead zones have vastly increased, many started by oil spills. Low oxygen users such as jelly fish are becoming predominant ( Japan – trawler evidence). The sulfur based life once found only near the mid Atlantic rift fumaroles has now spread and sulfur loving bacteria thrive. (CBC Documentary) It is late. The oceans are now in a state of ecosystem turnover. (Dyer and Mitchell forecast.) The oceans are becoming stagnant, lower oxygen levels occur and fish die offs are prevalent. Starvations are now occurring in the third world of near ocean populations that depend upon oceans for food. Oceans have now become much more acidic.

On land many crops fail due to pollinators dying off.

Although riots occur against government , they have acted too late. Birds and small animals die off first. The atmosphere carries a constant rotten egg smell. Though there are populations hidden behind high mountain walls such as Tibet north of the Himalayas, the die off of people in coastal communities is horrendous. Order breaks down and street killings become common, first of politicians and later not for food but for oxygen supplies. We die as animals did in the Permian extinction long before. The sulfide gases burbling from the oceans are not selective, rich and poor die, young and old. But the sulfide clouds vary and those small villages behind large mountain ranges, while not getting off Scott free, are able to survive. The phenomena goes on for a million years. Most common animals are extinct, while a few new ones, first more tolerant of sulfur, evolve.

Not with a bang, but with a whimper.

A Dr. Hansen scenario. Dr James Hansen, Director of NASA Goddard Institute

for Space Studies, “Storms of Our Grandchildren- Climate Catastrophe – our last chance to save humanity” His scenario,

“A spaceship approaches earth over the Pacific.

Pilot, “What do the temperatures show?”

Co Pilot, “The temp seems to be 100 degrees Celsius”

Pilot, “It seems to be all cloudy and steamy”

Co Pilot, “It can’t be cloudy everywhere”

Later in the middle latitudes N. America, Europe, Asia they found were all deserts with blowing sand.”

Hansen says, “The above scenario with earth purged of life may read like far fetched science fiction, Yet its central hypothesis is a tragic certainty”,… “we hand our children and grandchildren a situation that is out of their control.” “It is us, it is now”

Dr. Hansen also has studied glacier and ice cap melt. He says at present accelerating global warming rates we could be faced with a dislodging of the western ice shelves on Antarctica, breaking off and melting and if there is significant melt of glaciers in Greenland at the same time ocean levels could raise 25 feet in a fairly short time. New York, Shanghai and Miami would all become disasters.

Dr. David Suzuki

The Globe and Mail’s Ibbitson said, “The Pembina Institute and David Suzuki foundation have the courage to uncover and tell us the truth.”

Dr. David Suzuki’s words:

“Resolving a global problem like climate change will cost us money, . But doing nothing will cost us much more.”

“Former world bank chief economist Lord Stern, has estimated that to keep heat-trapping green house gas emissions below levels that would cause catastrophic climate change would cost us up to two per cent of global GDP , but failure to act could cost form from five to 20% of global GDP.” “ The very survival of people may well be at stake.” “Runaway climate change could have devastating impacts on our food and water supplies”. “Do we leave our children and grandchildren a world of misery?”

The New Olean’s hurricane killed 2,000.

The Tornadoes in the USA killed 500. (April 2011)

The Indus R flood in Pakistan killed 10,000 (2010)

The whole city of Bangkok may now become flooded.(Oct 2011, 270 killed)

The global costs of property damage should be on the oil companies’ balance sheets as their cost of doing business and not be a public cost.





CLIMATE CRIMES AND PENALTIES.

cd jy 15/2011

PENALTY FOR CRIMES AGAINST HUMANITY

The most serious question of all time is, SHOULD COUNTRY LEADERS BE PROSECUTED FOR CRIMES AGAINST HUMANITY IF THEIR GOVERNMENTS HAVE NO ACTIVE PROGRAM TO DELETE CARBON DIOXIDE MISSIONS BY 90% IN 15 YEARS? Of course undeveloped countries would be last on this list.

VALIDITY

The International Panel on Climate Change, The World Health Organization, the United Nations, the USA Military/the Pentagon, and the worlds serious climatologists all agree human caused climate warming is a fact. And “the increase in climate related catastrophes is already a fact.” “The frequency of natural disasters has increased by 42% since the 1980′s and the percent that are climate related has risen form 50% to 82%. Sherbinin, Warner,and Ehrhart, Scientific American, p.64, Jan. 2011.

CLIMATE CHANGE FACTORS

The changes brought on by brought on by “man made green house gas emissions include :

*higher rainfall variability

*greater frequency of extreme events such as droughts and floods,

*sea level rise [2/3 of a meter by 2100]

*ocean acidification [and consequent massive extinctions]

*long term shifts in temperature and precipitation.” [and consequent massive extinctions]

THE PRESENT STATE

In Mexico, “in Tlaxcala, Alscher found that in the 1990′s market liberalization and declining rainfall by 10-20%, led to lower farm incomes” Sherbinin p70

Honduras in July 2001, suffered a drought that affected a quarter of a million people. A few months later a tropical storm flooded the country side” p 70 (Sherbinin)

“In 1998 Hurricane Mitch killed 1100 people in Honduras and Nicaragua” p70

“In 2007 a tropical storm in Tabasco flooded and displaced 500,000 people.”

In 2000 the WHO claimed 150,000 people died from Climate Change.

It was reported in Time, April 2010 by the UN that one third of a million died from climate change.

NE Australia endured serious flooding in 2010.

The Indus R. flooded at a level never before seen in Pakistan in 2010.

In N. America in spring 2011, the Richelieu, the Missouri, the Mississippi and the Souris Rivers all flooded. Minot, a town in the US in N. Dakota said the Souris R. carried four times the volume it had ever recorded in the past.

The USA southwest is suffering a 20% water shortfall.

China has seen large floods in 2011 and past years.

Wildfires have in recent years burned large areas in Canada , the USA, Australia, Greece and Spain, connected with lower moisture regimes.

These are totally uncharacteristic of long term climate average events. Someone has to take responsibility for these deaths since excess human CO2 emissions have caused them.

According to Alana Mitchell (Seasick) the oceans are in dire straights.

40% of the phytoplankton has disappeared since 1950. The oceans have in the past produced 50% of the earths oxygen.

The large fish are 90% depleted and a fisheries crash is expected by 2050. (Dalhousie U)

There are hundreds of dead zones (Mitchell) , anoxic, without oxygen, and only jelly fish thrive there.

Jelly fish blooms have plugged a water intake for a Scottish nuclear plant (ENN) and forced a shutdown.

According to Dr. James Hansen (Storms of my Grandchildren) the measured net heat intake of the earth surpasses the net heat outflow from the earth and serious climate warming from human caused CO2 build up is inevitable unless we act now. The consequences are too catastrophic to describe for our grandchildren and their grandchildren.

The droughts in Kenya, Ethiopia and Somalia will cause very high death rates. These are not an accident of nature, they are human caused events. Someone is responsible.

THE FUTURE

A one meter sea level rise could result in the displacement, “In India alone, 40 million people would be displaced by a one meter sea level rise” (Sherbinin ET AL)

Greene and Robertson suggest , “an increase in total monsoon rainfall but a decrease in frequency of rain” and “Shifts in the seasonality of river flows (as winter snow pack declines and glaciers shrink).

Would affect the lives of several hundred million rural Asians” Climate models suggest that rainfall levels may increase in the north while deceasing in Mozambique’s south.”

(Sherbinin ET AL)

Columbia Universities Center for International Earth Science Information Network map projects showing , “a one meter sea level rise could result in a a displacement of seven million people in the Viet Nam, Mekong R. delta p. 68. and a two meter rise – 14 million displaced or half the population of the delta”

The international panel on Climate Change data says some of Central America “may see 20 to 50% decline in water availability.” Sherbinin p.70

PENALTY FOR CRIMES COMITTED

Is it time to prosecute leaders of countries with crimes against humanity if they have no active program to reduce carbon dioxide emissions by 90% within 15 years.

THE PHILOSOPHICAL CONTEXT

Scientific American discusses the end of time, the end of systems. What we have today was devised out of what we did not know. So we had the sun centered universe, and religious institutions that dedicate to a prescriptive behaviour not based any longer upon a reality. Today Einsteinium theory, evolution, time-space based universes explain our lives. We have a program (p.94) saying, “Scientists are now revealing the material basis of the conscious mind.” We have J. Venter who has (p. 93) “announced he and his colleagues had made a new living bacteria from a genome they decoded, artificially rebuilt and then stuck into the cored-out remains of the bacterium Myco-plasma. When the hybrid bug began to reproduce, it became the first artificial organism.” Behavioural dogmas not recognizing new scientific discoveries may be imposing a very hazardous lifestyle on the world those could help annihilate all mankind. Today dogmas can be lethal to the world, and over population and over consumption of world resources are part of that problem.

We know there are real life impacts from energies we use to dominate our world, and these energy consumption patterns can dictate an end or a revolutionary beginning. Dogma or vested oil interests only cloud the intention for positive action.

THE CRIMES

The oil companies and the senior politicians are responsible for this developing cataclysm. It is time to start prosecuting them.

Please vote yes if you agree yes no

Mass Extinction of Ocean Species Soon to Be ‘Inevitable’) – The oceans are at high risk of entering a phase of extinction of marine species unprecedented in human history, a panel of international marine experts warns in a report released today.

A deadly trio of factors – warming, acidification and lack of oxygen – is creating the conditions associated with every previous major extinction of species in Earth’s history, the panel warned.

Sunset at Huntington Beach, California (Photo by DHN)

The combined effects of these stressors are causing degeneration in the ocean that is “far faster than anyone has predicted,” the scientists report.

The urgent warnings emerged from the first-ever interdisciplinary international workshop held April 11-13 to consider the cumulative impact of all stressors affecting the ocean.

“The findings are shocking,” said Dr. Alex Rogers, scientific director of the International Programme on the State of the Ocean which convened the workshop.

DECISIONS  :  WE ARE ALL CONCERNED ABOUT THE FUTURE OF OUR CHILDREN AND GRANDCHILDREN, FOR OUR GREAT GRANDCHILDREN, THERE MAY BE NO FUTURE!!

Why do people tend not to believe the Scientific evidence of Climate change? We need to change!

IN AN AGE OF ECO UN-CERTAINTY (Utne Reader, Sept-October 2010) when we are struggling with flood, drought and wildfires, most one in 100, to one in seven hundred year events, way above the norm , MacKinnon says, “The greatest enemy of change is apathy” we see the potential impact of serious harm to our grand children, but above all it is “ our need to be innocent of a troubling recognition” of hurting our grand children that prevails. So we accept rumour and highly contrived fraud rather than the scientists accurate work to keep our old lives stable.

“If one sees nothing but white swans one is liable to predict that all swans are white. But the sudden appearance of one black swan proves the faultiness of this judgment. Seeing many white swans does not prove that all swans are white.” (SMART PEOPLE DUMB DECISIONS, Michael Mauboussin, THE FUTURIST, March-April, 2010). This relates to our experience with climate. We expect that having lived through a golden age, that life will continue on as it has. There is “A Bertrand Russell story, of a turkey that is fed 1,000 days in a row. The feedings reinforce the turkey’s sense of security and well being, until one day before thanksgiving an unexpected event occurs. All the turkey’s experience and feedback is positive until fortune takes a turn for the worse….. Humans have a large appetite for forecasts,” But these are often past based. The stock market crash of 2008 is case in point. The challenge is to create a model that is useful for day to day problems, but also captures the accurate longer term possibilities. Good outcomes lull us into a sense of confidence. But “systems are more complex and the idea that these many years of small good outcomes can be a set up that directly creates a phase change” toward a disastrous outcome is not conceived of.

“Put a tray of water into your freezer, and the temperature drops to the threshold of freezing. The water remains a liquid until — ah-whoom– it becomes ice. Small incremental changes in temperature lead to a change of form from liquid to solid. A phase change.” ( Mauboussin)

What the ecological systems of the earth are about is a phase change. We have had many centuries of good outcomes of the ecological processes of the earth in many habitat types. But over the last century in particular we have been imposing a new set of impacts on the bio system and we are now setting up the earth for a phase change. Dr. Hansen Storms of My Grandchildren, describes it in terms of the atmospheric changes about to occur and Alana Mitchell, Sea Sick, describes it in terms of the ocean ecosystems about to make a phase change.

“The accuracy of forecasts in systems with phase changes is dismal” (Mauboussin). So the continuance of the same year round environmental climate is now tending toward a phase change, and this knowledge of phase change is not built into our ability to manage the earth biosphere we live in. We see it in the sudden extremes of events: ice storms, floods, wild fire, drought, loss of species, and in many events we don’t see, loss of oxygen producing phytoplankton in the oceans.

During the Triassic there were a huge number of active volcanoes. This increased the release into the atmosphere creating a sulfur dioxide laden atmosphere. This rapid event created a toxic atmosphere and a huge extinction, the Triassic extinction. But one would call this a phase change in the atmosphere.

During the Permian, as with other areas of the world there was a huge layer of coal formed during the carboniferous period. When they looked for coal in Siberia , they could not find it. What they found was first a vast meteor Crater in Siberia, and they also found a very extensive layer of ash. They extrapolated that a meteor impact had lit fire to the vast coal deposits that burned for years, producing a huge amount of CO2 in the atmosphere. This carbon dioxide atmosphere was a phase change. Animals could not adapt fast enough. It caused a great Permian extinction There were hundreds of millions of years between these two extinction events so that animals evolved to become new species.

What is disconcerting, is that through studies of fossil atmosphere, from bubbles of air in the layers of ice in the ice caps, scientists have found that the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere during that extinction was similar to what it is today. Natural Resources in the Ontario Government says that, “there is 32% more CO2 in the atmosphere today than there was at the time of the beginning of the industrial revolution.”

We have been expecting that climate will stay within a forty per cent range of long term thousand year normals. Year after year, century after century we have seen fall, winter, spring and summer average temperatures rotate within a normal tolerance. Now we have a change, a phase change that we are not ready for. “If air pollution were halted instantly, it would take an estimated 200 years for CO2 ad other green house gases to return to preindustrial levels.” (Cetron and Davies, Trends Shaping tomorrow’s World, The Futurist, July-August 2010. p.42)

We can react to this quickly if we all know what is happening! If we have honest information!

The thing is the deniers attempt to set up confusing messages because they expect to profit from continued use of oil. We accept it because it fits with the many white swans or the turkey being fed for 1,000 days. We are not ready for the phase change, a phase change that is triggered at 450 parts per million CO2 in the atmosphere and perhaps is underway now in the oceans, according to Alana Mitchell.

Similarly we have come to believe the CBC and other broadcasters. However they are also perhaps in a controlling situation. Big oil owns some media outlets. Broadcasters have not been free about reporting on Climate warming. They are controlled by corporations and by government and the consequences of sulfide gases have never been so severe, so the impact of hiding information has never been so serious. So people are not informed we are on the slippery slope of climate change. The phase change is the sudden seriousness of the event that they keep hidden. During an interview around May 16, 2011, the Slave Lake fire was commented upon by Todd who advised it was a product of the climate warming drying and the great amount of fire fuel consequently available. The CBC interviewer did not inquire or confirm that yes, science shows climate warming is creating such drying conditions. He was silent on a very important point for confirmation. Was he so advised to keep quiet about global warming? Surely he has read the science on it, since he had just finished reporting on the Manitoba flood , another climate event.

The new government has been selected on the basis of providing a solid economy with a solid majority, but we now have a less democratic government with only 40% of voters having a voice in Parliament, not a majority. Secondly the solid economy description did not take into account of the Jones Town massacre syndrome. Jones believed the “end of days” was coming so they poisoned off their whole community assuming they would all go to heaven. If Harper believes the end of days philosophy, (does it appear so?), then he holds no responsibility for the likely phase change, will not act upon the warming and will lead us into a catastrophe. Is this our future solid economy? The CO2 symptoms are all around us and Hansen, Mitchell, Suzuki, Friedman, Brown, the IPCC and a host of scientists have proven that.

People say well, “prove it to me.” Scientists have. We are headed toward higher death rates and perhaps uncontrollable death rates. The 175 tornadoes in the US around April 18, 2011 killed about three hundred people. May 21, US, 90 killed by tornadoes. The IPCC says that events that are 40% outside of the long term 1,000 year normal are climate warming events. Of course it is also the speed off the event that creates impact. The Pakistan 2010 Indus River flood killed perhaps 20,000 to 50,000. The World Health Organization stated that in the year 2,000 – 150,000 died from global warming. Time magazine reported in March- April 2010 that one third of a million died from global warming. Yet we hold onto the white swan theory as if phase change is impossible. We are wrong and we may well have the wrong leader to change things. We possibly have an “end of days” believer. If he did not believe in the end of days, with all the scientific evidence, he would work hard to save his children and get us immediately off the fossil fuel energy dependency. The first step is a national energy policy and /or a class action suit against politicians for not taking on the responsibility for the nation. Will you help?

CLIMATE DISASTER EDUCATION WILL ANDERSON BA. BEd. MEd. May 14, 2011

EDUCATION

BA, Geography major, including climatology

BEd. MEd.

WORK EXPERIENCE

Teaching. biology, geography and science Grade 6 to 12

Teaching at University of Manitoba and University of Winnipeg
Chief Parks Naturalist for Manitoba Parks – Creating and managing the Parks education program. Followed environmental issues for 40 years and particularly climate change.

PRESENTATION

The science of climate change, how you measure it; arctic ice cap, glaciers, migratory species, breakup, new species. Oceans and climate change.

The deniers,and cigarette companies. Why? Profit. Obfuscation, creating uncertainty because they have no science to support their opinion.

Jones town massacre and climate change.

Petroleum and energy and climate change. Geological history. Permian extinction

Consequences of climate change regional, national, global. Who suffers soonest and most. Weather events, disease, poor water, shortage of water, death rates, continental and international WHO and UN.

Solution of Geo engineering and technology.

WHY CHANGE IS POSSIBLE, WHAT YOU SHOULD DO FOR YOURSELF AND FOR THE PLANET

Personal responsibility.

Schools and curriculum

Corporations.

Governments; Cap and trade, and the Carbon tax

Easy routes: letters to Political representatives

Your future

How the young can play a role; face book, twitter, blogs. Connect and defeat the deniers

Suzuki Challenge, little things at home, systems change.

Government regulation and policy: Transportation, Railways, cars, bikes, joint investment in a four wheeled commuter electric bike. Building codes.

SOURCES FOR ACCURATE INFORMATION: G. Dyer, Climate Wars, Dr. Friedman, Hot Flat and Crowded, Lester Brown Plan B2, Dr.Alana Mitchell, Seasick, Dr, James Hansen, Storms of My Grand Children. Dr.Danny Blair, Professor and climatologist at the U. of Winnipeg.

Will Anderson Net site climatedisaster.com

The earth is over harvested and won’t support more people. Biologists know this.

• During the Triassic to Carboniferous periods of over 200,000,000 years the lush vegetation growth during the time of the dinosaurs, was sequestered in the ground forming the vast deposits of petroleum. We have burned and dumped half that CO2 into the atmosphere in just 125 years. So we caused disastrous global warming. (Wikipedia)
• The WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION says that during year 2000, – 150,000 people died from global warming and another 5 million suffered from climate related disease. April 2010, Time reported that the UN said that one third of a million people died from global warming. New Orleans and Pakistan floods as well as storms, droughts, fires, disease; have gotten worse.
• With bio feed backs, melting ice not there to reflect heat, methane release from permafrost (20 times worse than C02) are expected to cause a projected temperature rise of 4-6 degrees C, melting all ice and raising sea level by 75 meters by 2100, flooding one third of the global population. (Hansen. Storms of My Grandchildren)
• The National Center for Atmospheric Research, Dr. Aiguo Dai using 22 computer models, says research shows continus drought is expected by 2040 and much of Australia, Asia, the Mediterranean, and SW North America will become more arid, reducing food supplies and consequences will be enormous. (Aiguo Dai)
• A Dalhousie University professor says 90% of the big fish in the oceans have been destroyed and ocean fish ecosystems will collapse by 2050.
• Over ancient times high CO2 and oxygen depleted oceans, enabled vast growth of bacteria and phytoplankton which rotted producing copious amounts of hydrogen sulfide making the atmosphere toxic and causing extinctions.. (Suzuki, Mitchell)
• USA military says climate change is there largest security problem.
• Media outlets generate misleading reports, “climate gate” and bias scientific results and lie to generate personal profits. Be certain you deal with the hard science information. (Skeptical Enquirer).
• Dr. James Hansen, Director of the NASA Space Institute is the most knowledgeable climate scientist . His work is indisputable. But few are familiar with it because the mass media hide it and public school systems hide it, and the deniers mislead you.
• 23 of the world’s top environmental leaders formed a coalition and wrote a letter to Pres. Obama and asked that he, “Declare a Global Climate Emergency!”
• We all just want a bit more growth, we all want more. But earth is a closed system, who are we going to take it from? The grandchildren!
• Suzuki says that we know why we are in a climate emergency, we know how to solve the oncoming climate disaster but there is not the political will to take action. He says that in the face of this knowledge, for politicians, “the failure to act is a criminal act, and is an inter generational crime” against our grandchildren.
• Are you willing to act and vote only for a carbon tax be paid to the developers of new green energy sources and to join a class action suit? Yes No
• Signed Phone/ Email _______ _____

______________________________________ _______ _____

______________________________________ _______ _____

______________________________________ _______ _____

______________________________________ _______ _____

______________________________________ _______ _____

Send to your political representative

Climate Disaster Feb 2011 Future Discounting

We have to take climate warming seriously. We know now that “the World Health Organization estimates that in the year 2000, mortality from climate change at more than 150,000 deaths”. (John Broome The Ethics of Climate Change, Scientific American, June, 2008) How many of our grandchildren will die in the near future? But CO2 imprint is from petroleum or fossil fuels and the tar sands pose a special case. The reason is that oil companies assume that the value of different things is lower than its real worth. They discount the value.

When economists discount the value or price of a product for the future they have a specific model in mind. For example they would say that the 2008 financial collapse was a matter of relocating wealth to the few rich from the poor. For them there was no problem. If the calculation did not consider values or ethics to enter into the discussion, the result was a pure transfer of wealth. But the problem is that by defining the terms they have already made an ethical judgment, that is the problem, with the loss of invested pensions people suffer. They discounted the value of injury to people.

If they chose to discount price of a product they might say that 1 oz of gold in hand today is worth $1500. But they could say we will allow that 1 oz of gold to be worth $1,000. in their calculations for 2108. After all the USA fixed the price of gold at $35. per ounce for many years. One could say they have only manipulated a formula. But of course we only apply economic models because we are applying them to profit from human conditions. As soon as we do that we cannot escape values and ethics. We have a purpose – we discount USA currency against gold to make it easier for the USA to pay off it’s debt.

We did do some future discounting for investment trusts. We said that after 2011 they would have less value because they were subjected to tax. But there are problems. At the same time, once these were all taxable corporations and we made them non taxable as investment trusts, we multiplied their future value. That simply helped destroy the government economy. We did not discount future value but multiplied future value for the select group that could afford to buy the trusts. Future multiplying value is every bit as justifiable as future discounting.

What if we say that a good is always discounted, that iron will be worth say $1,000. per ton in 2010 but $500. per ton on 2110. Then we are saying that wood or concrete or other materials that have a competitive use will be more in demand or be more in demand in the market by 2110. Not as much likely profit in iron, so we can discount it. This is a futures market.

But what if we say that iron is worth that much less but then what about fresh water. If climate models are correct we will have a wildly escalating value for water. The simple multiplier of being worth twice as much may be out of step. The price of water we could guess would now depend on how many people will live or depend on water for their lives. But we also know it is not a replaceable good so we always have to value it in synch with the: hydrological cycle, habitat maintenance, agriculture demands, city demands, transport, recreation and so on. Now we have the problem that we have an escalating future price, not a discounting, but rather a multiplier price for water. Because of the multiplier perhaps we should price water in Fort McMurray at 100 times current local price. (Of course only after having researched and priced in the cost of habitat loss, drought, hydrological cycle dysfunction etc.) We as well now have to be much more careful how we use water, as every use influences price. Now how much multiplier should we be putting on water that is currently being used for separating oil from bitumen in the tar sands and that in addition uses a lot of natural gas that has perhaps higher uses? It appears now that we have put far too low a price on the water used to separate oil from bitumen and we have a very high cost future multiplier price placed on petroleum that may be worth tremendously less than the hydrological cycle, habitat maintenance, agriculture, or city support. We know for instance that the Saskatchewan River flow has been reduced by 80% from the Rocky Mountains to Lake Winnipeg. Calgary and Edmonton with growth will run short of water because we have used a discounting model on the price of water in the tar sands instead of a multiplier model on the future price of water. Let us get it straight guys.

Economists have designed their models too narrow mindedly because their only objective is to make money at other peoples and at the living environments expense, and at our grandchildrens’ expense. This cannot be allowed! “Democracy

requires debate and deliberation as well as voting.” (ibid) Petroleum companies discourage this and send out fall information with their own discounting included. The “true arrogance is imagining that you are the final arbiter of the democratic process.” (ibid) This includes corporations and politicians.

Politicians that allow this are certainly not leaders and know little about real world economy. For example it would suggest that cigarette companies should discount present cost of cigarettes because many more children could afford them. We are using exactly the same sort of ethics and values in determining water use in the tar sands. We need to begin class action suits.

There are limits to discounting. Disruption to animal life could be one. If you give a man a fish he will live for a day, if you teach him how to fish in an ecologically sustainable way then he will support his family forever. That can guide the amount of discounting. So discounting relys on the vision of ecologically sustainable use. In the same way the model for any organic or life determining good has to be based upon a future multiplier, because the criteria for life will now become more pressing. That is exactly what the climate models now show and with absolute certainty. Therefore it is a criminal act for politicians to discount the price of water by applying only the need for dissolving oil out of bitumen, and that activity ould now be considered a frivolous use of water. So allowing tar sands excavation to control discounting is an arrogance worse than the cigarette companies behaviour. So to save our grandchildren it is time we started class action suits against the perpetrators.

Will you sign on?